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September 2024 Your Castle Real Estate Newsletter


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The Shrinking Trend: How Smaller Homes Are Maximizing Space and Functionality


The future of home design is all about doing more with less, and new homes are getting smaller without losing their charm—or their function! In response to affordability challenges, builders are scaling back on square footage while finding creative ways to keep homes practical and stylish. So, what’s changing in these smaller homes, and how are they staying functional?


Flex Spaces and Fewer Hallways


One big shift is the reduction in hallways, which means fewer interior walls and more open layouts. Gone are the days of long, narrow corridors that waste precious space. Instead, builders are incorporating more flexible areas, creating cozy nooks and niches that serve multiple purposes. Whether it's a small home office or a pet room, these "flex spaces" are adding versatility without adding square footage.


According to the 2024 US Residential Architecture and Design Survey by the New Home Trends Institute and John Burns Research and Consulting, homeowners can expect even more creative use of space in the coming years.


Affordability Drives Innovation


Builders are feeling the pressure to keep homes affordable, with more than one-third of them cutting home prices in 2023. This trend is expected to continue as housing affordability remains a barrier to homeownership. The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) predicts that smaller, more affordable designs will be a key focus for the future, even as builders face rising costs due to a lack of skilled labor, scarce buildable lots, and restrictive building codes.


As these challenges persist, buyers can expect homes that prioritize both function and affordability, making the most of every square foot.


(Info Source: NAHB, John Burns Research and Consulting, YCRE Analysis)


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Shifting Seasons: August's Market Trends and What to Expect This Fall in Denver Real Estate


As summer draws to a close, Denver’s real estate market transitions into its fall rhythm. Historically, this time of year brings challenges for sellers, as end-of-summer trips and back-to-school activities often slow buyer activity. However, this year’s market data reveals a more complex picture, with key indicators highlighting both opportunities and necessary adjustments for buyers and sellers alike. Let’s dive into how August shaped Denver’s real estate market and the trends to watch as we move into the fall season.


August experienced a slight dip in new listings, down 0.76% month-over-month, while active listings increased to 10,724 homes, marking a significant 56.37% increase from last year. For context, the average number of active listings in August over the years is 15,439, with historical highs and lows ranging from 31,664 listings in 2006 to a record low of 3,582 in 2021. This year’s slight decrease in active listings, down 1.32% from July, aligns with the typical seasonal trend where listings usually drop by 1.29% between these two months. Pending sales showed positive momentum, rising by 3.74% from July and 7.7% year-over-year, indicating that more buyers are re-entering the market as mortgage rates decrease. Conversely, closed sales fell by 7.55% month-over-month, but this figure is expected to rebound soon due to the 30-day closing lag.


The attached homes segment saw the most pronounced swings in data. Rising HOA dues, increased taxes, and higher insurance premiums have made transactions more challenging. Active listings remained relatively stable with a 0.40% month-over-month increase but surged by 70.92% year-over-year. Median days on the market increased by 136.36% compared to last year, now at 26 days. Additionally, the median close price in this segment dropped to $396,350, down from $415,000 in July and $418,000 a year ago.


By contrast, the detached housing market showed more stability. Active listings increased by 50.85% from this time last year, while new listings saw a slight decline of 0.99% from July to August. Pending sales rose to 2,836 homes, reflecting continued buyer interest. The median close price remained steady at $650,500, showing only a slight decrease of 0.69% from July and a marginal increase of 0.08% compared to last year. Median days on the market edged up to 19 days.

 

Overall, the current Denver real estate market is characterized by cautious behavior from both buyers and sellers, with limited urgency driving transactions. Buyers are closely monitoring listings but are hesitant to make offers unless a home matches their criteria perfectly. This has led to an increase in contracts falling through, attributed to factors such as contingent offers, lending challenges, and sellers' reluctance to negotiate on inspection items. With the Federal Reserve's September 17-18 meeting approaching, the market is keeping a close watch on interest rates, inflation, and broader economic updates, which could significantly shape real estate activity through the end of the year.


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Info for Sellers:


As Colorado home sales slow, seller concessions are becoming increasingly common. Over half of all statewide transactions this summer included incentives to attract buyers. With interest rates and insurance premiums making buyers more cautious, sellers must stand out in the market. Offering concessions to cover closing costs or making necessary repairs can help close a deal in this climate.


This time of year has traditionally been a challenging month for home sales, as distractions like vacations and back-to-school events often decrease buyer activity. Sellers should consider investing in pre-inspections and addressing needed repairs before listing. Presenting a move-in-ready home will likely capture more attention and lead to a successful sale.


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Info for Buyers:


A notable 10% year-over-year increase in pending sales of starter homes in July signals that first-time buyers are capitalizing on the slower market. While waiting for the perfect moment may be tempting, it’s crucial not to rely on the hope of significantly lower mortgage rates. Forecasts for 2024 suggest rates will hover around 6.4% to 6.5%, with the current (at time of writing) 30-year fixed rate at 6.43%. Substantial drops in rates are unlikely in the near term.


Instead of waiting, now is a great time to focus on preparing for homeownership. Get clear on your goals and what kind of home best fits your needs. If you do choose to wait, use this period wisely by improving your credit, saving for a down payment, and budgeting to ensure you’re financially ready when the time is right. Buying real estate can be a powerful step toward financial stability, security, and long-term flexibility.


(Info Source: D.M.A.R. (The Denver Metro Association of Realtors, YCRE Analysis)


Whether you’re buying or selling, the Denver real estate market is filled with both challenges and opportunities this fall. Buyers should focus on preparation, while sellers can boost their chances by making their homes stand out. Stay informed and take proactive steps to navigate the shifting market effectively.


September 2024 mostly market snapshot

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